Gotta love @BryanAlexanders ability to catalyze a conversation without leaning on hyperbole or triggers. This is in contrast with nearly every expert and pundit on the airwaves, who are expressing astonishment at how this conflict is unfolding. Still, one hopes that Western pressure, and the infliction of unacceptable losses upon Putins legions will create an opening for a negotiated peace. The United States intends to replace its existing fleet of Minuteman III missiles which came into service in the early 1970s with a new . In a wartime scenario, Russian and Belarusian forces . The simulation's scenario . More than 90 million people would be killed or injured in a nuclear war between the US and Russia if a conventional conflict went too far, according to a new simulation created by researchers. As stories they are very accessible, allowing us to imagine ourselves in them. In the final stage of the conflict, both Russia and NATO target the 30 most populated cities and economic centers of the other sideusing 5-10 nuclear warheads on each depending on population sizein an attempt to inhibit the potential for recovery. These same concerns appear to be driving the Ukrainians in the real fight. Image: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg. In February 2020, the Pentagon announced that the US had launched a simulated nuclear strike against Russia. 01:18. or redistributed. In terms of computer wargames, Operational Art of War IV apparently has some levels displaying Russian and Ukrainian armies at war. 80% 0. 100% 0. Josh Calder created another infographic, this time of what might result from the war. Research organization RAND has run dozens of wargames simulating major conflict scenarios in what it describes as Russia and Chinas backyards. The wargames suggest that the U.S. forces in those locations would get attacked by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. Market data provided by Factset. Another difference was in the impact of the Russian air and missile campaign. Russia hits European cities with nuclear weapons, drawing retaliation from NATO and the U.S. What is left is nothing short of an apocalypse, with what we estimate is billion people dead, Kazianis wrote about the result of the 2019 war simulation. In the actual conflict, there are recent reports of Ukrainian units moving off these lines suffering large losses, as the wargame predicted. It uses extensive data sets of the nuclear weapons currently deployed, weapon yields, and possible targets for particular weapons, as well as the order of battle estimating which weapons go to which targets in which order in which phase of the war to show the evolution of the nuclear conflict from tactical, to strategic to city-targeting phases. s ability to catalyze a conversation without leaning on hyperbole or triggers. Its total in 2021 was estimated to be $801bn, according to Statista. The intent of these orders was to lure Russias 8th Combined Arms Army into expending vast amounts of resources hitting empty positions, as the Ukrainians would have already fallen back to the Dnieper River. Ukraine and several other countries . AIR FORCE FAST-TRACKS NEW NUCLEAR MISSILES. live Updates. There are just two bridges on the southern sector of the Dnieper River which are key terrain. Click 'COMPARE' to process the request. At this time, the Russian fires complex (artillery, air, and missiles) switched its priority to destroying Ukrainian fire support systems. The video shows footage from "Arma 3," a military-style video game. The war that erupted in eastern Ukraine in 2014 has already left 14,000 dead and an estimated 1.4 million displaced. Nathan Barrick, Ph.D., a strategist at US Special Operations Command, is currently a student at the Marine Corps War College and a former U.S. Army Russian foreign area officer. But it was almost the precise course of action the Russians undertook in the wargame. Several scenarios via the excellent Naked Capitalism blog. If you enjoyed this video, makes sure toSubscribe To The Channel!Like The Video!Ring The Bell!Upload Schedule Every Wednesday and Saturday!Discord https://discord.gg/WkezWuMTwitter https://twitter.com/AdizzProInformationHello, I am AdizzPro. At present, none of these cities have fallen, and the Russian ground offensive appears to be slowing, as it faces stiffening resistance and logistic challenges. Its freely available to download and play. Ukraines ability to score some early wins and demonstrate incredible acts of courage from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on down have generated an inspired defense, similar to Ukraines course in the wargame. What do you make of these? Despite Russia's continued disastrous handling of its war of choice in Ukraine, the conflict's . Follow James Rogers on Twitter@jamesjrogers. A Russian ballistic missiles guidance system fails and crash-lands into NATO member Poland, killing 34 civilians as it tragically lands into a populated village along the Polish-Ukraine border, Kazianis recalled about one scenario in the simulation. Hopefully a war between . A post game analysis decided that it would have been better to keep the Ukrainian force in the city per the original plan and turn Kharkiv into a fortress city. Tamara Patton, Moritz Ktt, Alex Glaser, Alex Wellerstein, Bruce Blair, Sharon Weiner, Zia Mian, Jeff Snyder, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. We speak to six young Russians about the devastating conflict, which has entered a second year. Sign in to see reasons why you may or may not like this based on your games, friends, and curators you follow. Click. The U.S., he explains, should not assume air and maritime superiority over the battlespace. There have been dozens of wars in the almost 80 years since World War II ended. After an initial burst of interest in the video, the view count didn't increase much until late February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine and Putin made remarks alluding to the possible use of nuclear weapons, according to Glaser. He explained: If youre trying to deter an adversary, what you might do is reveal the fact that youve been simulating you fight them because that is part of your deterrence. The Russian ambassador to the UK discusses the conflict in Ukraine, a year on. The simulation begins in the context of a conventional conflictRussia fires a warning shot from a base near the city of Kaliningrad in an attempt to stop a U.S./NATO advance. If this wargame had been played at the Pentagon or the White House in the weeks leading up to the war, no strategist or policymaker would be shocked by any event so far seen in the war. At present, the Russians appear to possess air superiority, but the reported 30+ sorties the Ukrainians are launching daily have denied the Russians the level of air dominance that they achieved in the wargame. Still, even if one accepts that the Russians are trying to limit Ukrainian casualties and infrastructure damage, it is difficult to ignore the fact the Russians have been slow off the mark. As the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues, many wonder how it might conclude. Thus, they have held back much of their overwhelming fires complex to avoid destroying significant amounts of infrastructure and killing too many of their Ukrainian brothers. This was the reasoning employed in the game, and most current reporting shows it was the thinking dominating the Kremlin. In the game the Russian advance out of the Crimea was their most rapid and successful operation. War in Petropol . The Russian . That Zelenskyy remains capable of talking to his commanders and the outside world is encouraging and clearly has provided a strategic level boost in the information war and in Ukrainian morale. Billionaire Oleg Deripaska said Russia could find its coffers empty already next year and needs investment from "friendly" countries to break the hold of . Today's video presents a war simulation, which maps out a war between Russia and Ukraine. This defaults to your Review Score Setting. DON'T MISS:Vladimir Putin's 'emotional chaos' childhood laid bare[INSIGHT]Russia defied by Finland: 'Clearly a part of the West'[EXCLUSIVE]Putin wanted 'anti-EU' alliance with UK before Ukraine invasion[EXPERT]. In total, across Europe, Asia, and the US the simulation says a total of 90 million people would be killed within the first few hours of conflict and that number does not include deaths from nuclear fallout or other long-term . Only to the north of Kyiv have the Russians made dangerous gains. Assuming war, other scenarios appear. The conflict followed fighting in Ukraine. As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its 374th day, we take a look at the main developments. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Photos; Timeline; . These headquarters were just starting to come under intense pressure when the game ended. While it is not clear if Russian President Vladimir Putin would ever go so far as to use nuclear weapons, the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has led to a spike in discussions about the potential outbreak of nuclear war. All fatality estimates are limited to acute deaths from nuclear explosions and would be significantly increased by deaths occurring from nuclear fallout and other long-term effects. In the north, a Ukrainian brigade conducted a spoiling attack against Russian forces across the border in Belarus. To combat these threats, U.S. forces could ramp up their deployment of so-called standoff missiles that can be fired from large distances, such as cruise missiles, according to Ochmanek, along with highly robust reconnaissance systems and jam-resistant communications. Front-line Polish army units faced the loss of between 60 and 80 percent of their equipment. They send salvos that are so great that we cannot intercept all the missiles, Ochmanek said. Local children play in front of a church damaged during Russia's invasion of Ukraine in Kolychivka, Ukraine, April 27, 2022. But as this is being written, even here the Russian initial advances toward Kyiv appear to have been stymied some miles north of the city. Nine countries in the world possess nuclear weapons. Putin has, however, previously shown a willingness to defy even the most pessimistic of his critics, by invading Ukraine and allegedly using a nerve agent against a former KGB officer in Salisbury. The nuclear exchange quickly escalates in Europe with Russia sending 300 warheads via aircraft and short-range missiles to hit NATO bases and advancing troops. In 2019, Harry J. Kazianis participated in an American simulation of a war between Russia and the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The resulting immediate fatalities and casualties that would occur in each phase of the conflict are determined using data from NUKEMAP. The crucial early decision for Ukraine was what to do with the 17 to 20 battalions arrayed on the line of control in the Donbas area. The scenario the group decided to test back in late 2019 was similar to today: Russia decided to invade Ukraine under the excuse that it is must defend Russian-speaking peoples that are being oppressed by Ukraines fascist government, Kazianis wrote in his March 4, 2022 piece. Please check your browser settings to ensure that it is not blocking Facebook from running on straight.com. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Many call themselves futurists Bryan actually knows how to do it. The scenario shown in the piece is a plausible one based on the available evidence. This led to a major engagement about 40 kilometers northwest of Kharkiv against the Russian 27th Guards Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade. Josh Calder shared this infographic with me, developing a sequence of events for three different ways forward: diplomacy, irregular war, and a conventional attack. The mapping scenario focuses on geography and the capturing of major cities, making it different from my usual videos. NATO then retaliates with a single, tactical, nuclear air strike.